Value Betting Calculator

Convert your edge, odds, and daily bet volume into realistic monthly profit expectations with variance-aware insights.

Inputs

This model assumes a fixed stake of 1% of your bankroll and 30 days per month.

Edge per value bet (%)

Example: 3, 5, or 7 means a +3–7% advantage per qualifying bet.

Average odds (decimal)

Typical examples: 1.80, 2.00, 2.50, 3.00.

Bets per day

How many value bets you place per day on average.

Bankroll

Any currency (USD/EUR/GBP/PLN etc.). Stake size = 1% of bankroll.

Currency

Display only - the calculations are currency-independent.

A fast and practical tool that turns your edge and betting volume into expected monthly profit, ROI, and variance ranges.

Example: With a 5% edge at 2.00 odds, 10 bets/day, and a 1,000 bankroll (1% stakes), you can estimate expected profit and see typical monthly swings.

Enter your estimated edge and average odds.
Set realistic bets per day and bankroll.
Review your expected profit, ROI, and variance ranges.
Use patience estimates to plan how many bets are needed for long-term confirmation.

No. The model assumes independent bets and uses normal approximations. Real-world outcomes may vary.

It’s a simple, conservative default. You can effectively adjust your staking by changing your bankroll.

This version uses 30 days for consistency and comparability.